Political Risk Status This Year: Turmoil and Conflict Expected

Last year, the international political risk environment was in turmoil and it is expected to be like that as well this year. The BMI-based March’s Political Risk Map of 2018, demonstrates shifts during the last 12 months and generates forecasts for ongoing risks and issues. For instance, conflicts between the U.S., North Korea and other nations have worsened as North Korea keeps on performing nuclear tests.

Meanwhile, the risk of risen international trade import barriers is still there. BMI studies forecast that trade titans like U.S. will go for more limitations in 2018, following a short fall in such measures being followed last year. The Trump government has requested from the U.S. Department of Commerce to carry out studies regarding unjust trade practices, which could be considered to support the imposition of new charges. At the same time, risks from succession overtake the political risk environment in several African nations. And the menace of terrorism is still an issue, as shown by the terrorism outbreaks in Europe, Asia, Africa and other regions last year.


Intercontinental corporations have to endure a complicated and constantly shifting political risk landscape. Social turmoil and negative state decisions are making up the most frequent instances of political risks that multinational corporations encounter when engaged in trade overseas.

Does this imply that businesses should abandon chances if they exist in prospectively troublesome regions? Not exactly. Despite political risks being hard to manage directly, in several cases, they can be minimized via credit and political risk security, which offers an increased confidence in the advantages of this occasion.

Going back to the past, intercontinental organizations have bought political conflict and/or terrorism attack insurances as the result of lower rates compared to political risk insurance. However, organizations should consider the fact that this approach can potentially expose them to some greater loopholes. Regardless if a terrorism insurance or political turmoil insurance reacts to a claim, it depends on the way insurance companies and states perceive actual events. In some cases, for example, insurance companies have rejected coverage of fees stating that a specific case should be covered only under another kind of policy/plan. On the other hand, political risk insurance entities can assist in sealing any gaps by extending coverage for both cases, in order to prevent any arguments.

Trade deals for the provision of stock and services with the state or private organizations in developing nations are frequently subject to political risks. Heightened international protectionism procedures, the limitation of tough currency transactions and the burden of trade embargoes and penalties are ongoing problems in nations where governments strive to impose foreign policy targets, impact internal public opinion, or control fiscal problems. Additionally, organizations may realize that they are subject to domestic counterparty limit barriers that prevent them from establishing a competitive presence in their target markets.

Agreements are able to be covered for terms of up to 7 years and if the purchaser retains sovereign status, it can jump to 10 years or more.